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Will the real estate for sale supply cause prices to rise in 2022?

Agents nationwide expect resale home prices to rise 7% in 2022

Real estate agents predict resale home prices to increase 7% and sales volume to rise 6% this year, a Burns Real Estate Agent survey found.

John Burns Real Estate Consulting surveyed 4,000 agents in 462 markets about their sales and volume forecasts for 2022. Agents were surveyed in December and results were published Jan. 22. 

Real Estate Survey

The results show nationwide optimism that the hot housing market will continue, although not at the levels seen in much of 2021, when resale home prices skyrocketed 18%. 

Just 22% of agents surveyed in December described the pace of new listings as “faster” than the same time the previous year.

Will there be multi-offers on Boston condo for sale?

Real estate agents reported a rising number of multiple-offer listings and all-cash offers, reflecting the low inventory and high demand throughout much of the country. Ninety-two percent of agents surveyed said buyers outnumber sellers.

The survey’s results varied slightly by region and market. 

Optimism about the real estate market was lower in the Northeast, where 72% of survey respondents characterized their sales outlook for the next six months as “good.” That’s the lowest percentage of any region in the U.S. outside Southern California.

Still, market activity is stronger than normal for the winter in the Northeast.

Said an unnamed Boston agent quoted in the survey report: “I get a sense that there are sellers out there who feel like they missed the train in 2021 and are afraid the market will shift for the worst this year. They are putting their homes on the market sooner than normal. The promise of increasing interest rates might be fueling this movement as well.”

The Burns Resale Housing Market Index sits at 75 out of 100. It scored sales activity a 60 out of 100 (50 is considered “normal”); expected sales activity in the next six months scored 85 out of 100; and demand for housing scored a 95 on the 100-point scale (50 is considered balanced supply and demand).

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Updated: Boston Real Estate 2021 and 2022

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Homeowners aren’t budging, and it’s driving the supply of houses down — and existing-home prices up.

One in four homeowners has not moved in 20 years, the Wall Street Journal reported. The analysis, conducted by real estate brokerage Redfin, found that homeowner tenure has been climbing steadily since 2005, when only 8.6 percent of homeowners had been in their homes for 20 years.

Home sales in 2020 swelled to their highest level in 14 years as newly remote workers searched for more space for their families and home offices. In turn, the availability of homes has dwindled to a record low, with just a 2.3-month supply at the end of November.

Those looking to buy homes will find few affordable options, as the demand for existing homes pushes prices up. The median existing-home price exceeded $300,000 for the first time last year, and in November reached $310,800 — a 15 percent increase from 2019, according to the National Association of Realtors.

[WSJ] — Georgia Kromrei

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