Can mortgage defaults happen to the downtown Boston real estate market? Err… Yes
Can mortgage defaults happen to the downtown Boston real estate market? Err… Yes. Mortgage defaults are on the rise, but historically there is no cause for alarm, yet.
16 percent year-over-year surge in mortgage delinquencies
Despite the declining rates and the robust economy that characterized the U.S. during the fourth quarter, the Federal Reserve’s pursuit of lower inflation has proven to be an obstacle for the American housing market.
The consequence of that pursuit, which pushed up borrowing costs on U.S. households, is a 16 percent year-over-year surge in mortgage delinquencies (60 days past due), according to TransUnion’s fourth-quarter Credit Industry Insights report, exposing the growing struggle of consumers in the face of evolving macroeconomic uncertainties.
TransUnion’s report, produced from billions of updates received each month from banks, credit unions, finance companies, auto dealers, mortgage companies, retailers, student loan providers and public records, found that a total of 1.3 percent of all consumer-level mortgages in the U.S. were in serious delinquency in the fourth quarter of last year.
1,092,000 Americans are more than 60 days past due on their mortgages.
With roughly 84 million mortgages active in the U.S., according to data from LendingTree, that would mean about 1,092,000 Americans are more than 60 days past due on their mortgages.
While that may seem alarming to some, it isn’t nearly as bad as what happened in the aftermath of the great financial crisis (GFC) in 2008, according to Michele Raneri, vice president and head of U.S. research and consulting at TransUnion.
“We’re still in a pretty good spot, especially when you’re looking at 60 days past due,” Raneri told Newsweek during an interview on Wednesday. “So it has inched up a little bit, but it’s still not come back to what would be considered pre-GFC or probably even pre-pandemic.”
Asked whether or not the slight uptick is of concern, Raneri said, “I don’t think so. Of course, people in the industry are watching it to see if it’s becoming a bigger problem, but I don’t think that it’s something that is an indication of a bigger problem.”
She continued that the delinquency issue is not a “systemic” problem reflective of the GFC, partly due to stricter lending standards, and that back in 2008, people had “so little equity in their homes.”
Read the full article here:
Source: NewsWeek
Byline – John Ford – Boston Seaport Condo Broker.
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Can mortgage defaults happen to the downtown Boston real estate market? Err… Yes
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