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Wealthy towns face slower market, some better than others

A week or so ago, I read a comment in some blog about how $1,000,000+ sales had dropped off in some of the tonier (hate that word) towns across the Commonwealth. Or, more accurately, the comment was that there was a glut of $1,000,000+ single-family homes on the market, when you compared them to number of sales.

So, I did some research.

Here is a break-down of data from MLSPIN covering 01/01 - 03/31 for the years 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008. And, current inventory, all listings greater than $1,000,000. And, months of inventory available, based on the number of sales during the past 30 days.

Typically, the average time on market for homes in all price ranges is between 5-8 months. Million dollar-plus homes have historically sold more slowly than other price ranges.

As you can see, though, some towns seem to have a glut.

There’s probably more to this story than meets the eye. Why, for example, would there be 26 million dollar-plus homes on the market today, in Andover, when during the past four years, only six or seven homes sold, all year? Is the supply due to new construction? Is it owners in duress? Is it owners testing out the market?

Town 2005 2006 2007 2008 current inventory sold last 30 days months of inventory

Andover 6 7 6 3 26 1 26 months

Boxford 4 2 5 2 19 2 9.5 months

Brookline 13 16 18 12 43 9 4.7 months

Dover 8 7 2 2 45 2 22.5 months

Cambridge 10 14 9 8 20 3 6.66 months

Carlisle 4 4 6 2 13 1 13 months

Concord 8 11 9 6 40 2 20 months

Lexington 11 9 15 12 64 7 9 months

Lincoln 6 4 8 4 9 1 9 months

Manchester 1 4 2 4 26 1 26 months

Wellesley 25 33 33 27 82 10 8.2 months

Weston 28 5 17 14 72 3 24 months

Total 124 116 130 96 459

Source: Based on information provided to and compiled by the Multiple Listing Service Property Information Network, Inc. covering the first-quarter, 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008.


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3 Responses to “Wealthy towns face slower market, some better than others” »»

  1. Comment by John A Keith | 04/06/08 at 2:39 pm

    I should point out, one crucial piece of information is missing in this. That is, how many listings came on the market in 2005, 2006, and 2007? It’s possible that there were just as many listings on the market in those years, as there is, currently, and that many of the listings didn’t sell then, even with a “hot” market.

    Meaning, perhaps there were 26 units for sale in 2005, 2006, and 2007, and the majority of them never sold, and were pulled from the market. If so, then the current level of listings wouldn’t be seen as an anomaly.

  2. Comment by Rob Lawrence | 04/06/08 at 4:46 pm

    Even in the western part of the state, Berkshire and Hampsire county you can see the effect of the housing bubble going bust. This is not an isolated event just in Boston.
    Warm Regards,
    Rob
    http://www.battlecall.com

  3. Comment by West Toronto realtor | 04/06/08 at 6:37 pm

    Interesting blog John and good comment! Really, I believe this situation will look differently after 5-10 years, when all data will be cleared. Now it’s just matter of last months and everything is still too hot. However, the bubble is here (ok, there, here in Canada it’s “so far, so good” :) for sure. Best wishes from West Toronto realtor

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