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My name is John A Keith. I am a real estate broker in Boston. Along with my team of agents, I help buyers and sellers of homes throughout Boston, including the South End, Back Bay, and Beacon Hill neighborhoods.

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Realtor organization sees limited effects from subprime lending crisis

David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, predicts that tighter underwriting practices may cause total home sales to fall by about 100,000 to 250,000 nationally, or no more than 3 percent a year over the next two years.

“Foreclosures are increasing inventories in certain local markets,â€? Lereah says. “The projected flood of foreclosures are problematic and will add to the already loose housing supply in some local markets, but these local markets are exhibiting healthy economic activity, enabling them to be able to absorb increases in foreclosures.”

Source: Subprime Reforms to Have Slight Market Impact, Realtor.org

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4 Responses to “Realtor organization sees limited effects from subprime lending crisis” »»

  1. Comment by anon | 03/30/07 at 4:07 pm

    Wasn’t

    Lereah also the one who said that real estate would appreciate at “only” 6% in 2006 (when in fact

    appreciation ended up being negative)? His assurances aren’t exactly comforting.

  2. Comment by John A Keith | 03/30/07 at 5:46 pm

    I know what you’re saying, and I don’t necessarily

    disagree; it’s obvious that he has a conflict of interest. However, there were plenty of other

    economists who said the exact same thing.

    (Plus, I’m not sure that on a national level we

    didn’t see appreciation - I can’t find any data; Massachusetts prices may have dropped 3-5% but

    plenty of areas continued to see price appreciation.)

  3. Comment by NickV | 04/01/07 at 12:06 pm

    I agree with anon in #I. Lereah assurances come across as cheerleading, not sound

    economic guidance. I feel his recent track record has damaged his credibility and I don’t

    understand why the media (including bloggers) quote him without some sort of disclaimer.

  4. Comment by John K | 04/01/07 at 12:31 pm

    Pffft. I calls ‘em as I sees

    ‘em.

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