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Boston’s housing market looks “less healthy” - WSJ

From Jonathan J Miller’s Matrix blog, quoting James Hagerty, in The Wall Street Journal:

“Metropolitan areas whose housing markets look less healthy, at least in the short term, include Boston, Los Angeles, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Philadelphia and San Francisco. All of them have growing inventories of homes and relatively weak job growth. As a result, houses that a year or two ago might have sold in hours now are languishing on the market for months, and some sellers are cutting prices.”

I’m not as pessimistic as Mr. Hagerty, because I don’t think the data supports what he’s saying.

(Once again, a reporter has melded together Boston & Massachusetts, so it’s hard to see what Hagerty’s actually talking about. Boston Proper has not seen any price reductions, and I don’t think the reporter’s talking about Boston when he uses words like “houses” since Boston is almost all condos, so really, what’s he talking about???)

I do agree, however, that without job growth, you aren’t going to see much increase in the way of housing prices, or in the number of properties being sold, each year.

Then again, Massachusetts is still selling homes at the 2003 rate, which was historically the best year ever, until 2004 and 2005.

So, relatively, it’s a good time, right?

More details: Late For The Party - By Jonathan J. Miller, Matrix, Interpreting The Real Estate Economy, and Housing Strength Shifts to New Markets - By James Hagerty, The Wall Street Journal


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4 Responses to “Boston’s housing market looks “less healthy” - WSJ” »»

  1. Comment by Paul | 04/27/06 at 8:00 pm

    Why do most realtors (publicly) like to sugar coat the market. I KNOW many realtors in BOSTON..

    and they’re crying right now as the market is at a dead standstill. That’s REALITY.

  2. Comment by John A Keith | 04/27/06 at 9:27 pm

    I dunno, why don’t you ask the many realtors you

    KNOW?

  3. Comment by John | 04/27/06 at 11:54 pm

    > So, relatively, it’s a good time, right?

    Yes, it certainly is

    a good time to buy. And if you believe that, you probably also bought the NASDAQ after it dropped

    from 5000 to 4000, on its way to 2000.

  4. Comment by Anonymous | 04/29/06 at 5:06 am

    Here’s a David Lereah, chief economist for the NAR, quoted in an

    rel="nofollow">honest moment recently:

    “Some builders will get caught

    with their pants down, because they built too much. … Prices got a ‘little’ too high, we got

    ahead of ourselves. … We need to catch our breath. … It happened in the stock market. How many

    people purchased Qualcomm, Lucent, I doubled down on Lucent. We became irrational during the stock

    market craze. … There were lotteries to get into [real estate] deals. I got into one! … Go to

    Miami to see the excess. … 40% of all loans in 2006 were interest only … Prices went higher

    because of the artificial energy in the real estate market … that’s what took the punch bowl

    out of the party. … We made a mistake. It’s going to hurt. You are going to have a double digit

    drop. Expect it.” —David Lereah, Chief Economist of the National Association of Realtors, Quoted

    at a Florida real estate meeting, 27 April 2006

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